Tuesday, July 12, 2005

Sometimes I Hate It When I'm Right

I was right, as sad as it is. Recent polling has Bush up 3 points in Gallup and 5 points in Pew since the London bombings. Both polls ran from July 7-10.
GALLUP
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?"


Approve_____Disapprove_____Unsure
7/7-10/05
__49___________48____________3

6/29-30/05
__46___________51____________3

PEW
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?" If "Depends": "Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?"

Approve_____Disapprove_____Unsure
7/7-10/05
___47__________46____________7

6/8-12/05
___42__________49____________10

Bush's greatest ally is a scared public. No matter how many terrorist attacks there are on his watch, and no matter how much world terrorism increases on his watch, if the public is afraid, Bush's numbers go up, if the public is not afraid they realize that he doesn't share their values and his numbers drop. More Evidence in the Gallup Poll that the public is afraid. 20% more now think that further acts of terrorism in the United States are either "Very Likely" or "Somewhat Likely". An 8% jump in the "very likely" number since June 20th and a 12% jump in the "Somewhat Likely" number. The American public rallies behind Bush every time they become afraid.

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